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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">koz</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">"Вестник Северо-Казахстанского университета имени Манаша Козыбаева"</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Bulletin of Manash Kozybayev North Kazakhstan University</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2958-003X</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2958-0048</issn><publisher><publisher-name>М. Қозыбаев атындағы СҚУ</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.54596/2958-0048-2024-3-165-171</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">koz-1671</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ИНФОРМАЦИОННО-КОММУНИКАЦИОННЫЕ ТЕХНОЛОГИИ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Приложение цепей Маркова к задачам прогнозирования в социоценозах</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Application of Markov chains to forecasting tasks in sociocenose</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Курмашева</surname><given-names>Л. Б.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kurmasheva</surname><given-names>L. B.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Курмашева Лилия Борисовна – преподаватель, кафедра ИКТ.</p><p>Петропавловск</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Master, lecturer of the Department of Information and Communication Technologies, Kozybayev University.</p><p>Petropavlovsk</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">lbkurmasheva@ku.edu.kz</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Нерадовская</surname><given-names>Ю. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Neradovskaya</surname><given-names>Y. W.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Нерадовская Юлия Викторовна - кандидат экономических наук, доцент кафедры статистики и эконометрики.</p><p>Санкт-Петербург</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>PhD in Economics, Associate Professor, Department of Statistics and Econometrics, Federal State Budget Educational Institution of Higher Education "Saint-Petersburg State University of Economics".</p><p>Saint Petersburg</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">neradovskaya.yu@unecon.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Курмашев</surname><given-names>И. Г.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kurmashev</surname><given-names>I. G.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Курмашев Ильдар Гусманович – кандидат технических наук, заведующий кафедрой "Информационно-коммуникационные технологии".</p><p>Петропавловск</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Candidate of Technical Sciences, Head of Chair Information and Communication Technologies, Kozybayev University.</p><p>Petropavlovsk</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">ikurmashev@ku.edu.kz</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru">НАО «Северо-Казахстанский университет имени М. Козыбаева»<country>Казахстан</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en">Manash Kozybayev North Kazakhstan University NPLC<country>Kazakhstan</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru">ФГБОУ ВО «Санкт-Петербургский государственный экономический университет»<country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en">Federal State Budget Educational Institution of Higher Education «Saint-Petersburg State University of Economics»<country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2024</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>20</day><month>09</month><year>2024</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>3 (63)</issue><fpage>165</fpage><lpage>171</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Курмашева Л.Б., Нерадовская Ю.В., Курмашев И.Г., 2024</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2024</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Курмашева Л.Б., Нерадовская Ю.В., Курмашев И.Г.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Kurmasheva L.B., Neradovskaya Y.W., Kurmashev I.G.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://vestnik.ku.edu.kz/jour/article/view/1671">https://vestnik.ku.edu.kz/jour/article/view/1671</self-uri><abstract><p>Профессиональное развитие является важным процессом, который влияет на жизненный путь людей. Поддержка студентов в моменты выбора вуза, в процессе обучения может помочь им принимать важные решения в отношении карьеры и повысить их трудоустройство. В работе предложен подход к моделированию поведения абитуриента с использованием цепей Маркова, приводятся некоторые интерпретации. Цепь Маркова широко используется для моделирования и анализа стохастических систем в разных областях науки и техники. Результаты исследования могут быть полезными для администрации вуза, консультантов по карьере при планировании профориентационных мероприятий.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Professional development is an important process that affects people's way of life. Supporting students at the moment of choosing a university, during the learning process, can help them make important career decisions and increase their employability. The paper proposes an approach to modeling the behavior of an applicant using Markov chains, and provides some interpretations. The Markov chain is widely used for modeling and analyzing stochastic systems in various fields of science and technology. The results of the study can be useful for the university administration, career consultants when planning career guidance activities.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>профориентация</kwd><kwd>моделирование</kwd><kwd>система</kwd><kwd>цепи Маркова</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>career guidance</kwd><kwd>modeling</kwd><kwd>system</kwd><kwd>Markov chains</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Anne-Kathrin Kleine, Antje Schmitt, Barbara Wisse. Students' career exploration: A meta-analysis//Journal of Vocational Behavior. - 2021, Volume 131 https://doi.org/10.1016/i.ivb.2021.103645</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Anne-Kathrin Kleine, Antje Schmitt, Barbara Wisse. 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